Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 61.68%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 17.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
Result | ||
Chelsea | Draw | Preston North End |
61.68% (![]() | 21.03% (![]() | 17.29% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.2% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.69% (![]() | 43.3% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.3% (![]() | 65.7% (![]() |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.48% (![]() | 13.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.43% (![]() | 40.56% (![]() |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.52% (![]() | 38.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.77% (![]() | 75.23% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chelsea | Draw | Preston North End |
2-0 @ 10.41% (![]() 1-0 @ 10.4% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.95% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.95% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.64% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.17% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.39% 5-1 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 3.05% Total : 61.66% | 1-1 @ 9.94% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.2% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.75% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.03% | 0-1 @ 4.97% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.75% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.51% ( ![]() Other @ 2.18% Total : 17.29% |
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