SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Everton had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Everton win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Chelsea |
34.51% ( -0) | 25.04% ( -0.04) | 40.46% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.32% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.9% ( 0.21) | 46.1% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.6% ( 0.2) | 68.4% ( -0.19) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.13% ( 0.1) | 25.88% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.14% ( 0.13) | 60.86% ( -0.13) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.33% ( 0.12) | 22.68% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.68% ( 0.18) | 56.32% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.42% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.39% Total : 34.51% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.04% | 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.2% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 40.46% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
