Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 68.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Sheffield United had a probability of 13.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Sheffield United win it was 1-2 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Chelsea in this match.
Result | ||
Chelsea | Draw | Sheffield United |
68.23% ( 0.02) | 18.37% ( -0) | 13.4% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.86% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.97% ( -0.03) | 39.02% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.65% ( -0.03) | 61.34% ( 0.03) |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.55% ( -0) | 10.45% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.95% ( -0) | 34.05% |
Sheffield United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.03% ( -0.05) | 40.97% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.47% ( -0.05) | 77.53% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Chelsea | Draw | Sheffield United |
2-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.34% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.1% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.87% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0) Other @ 4.47% Total : 68.23% | 1-1 @ 8.63% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.37% | 1-2 @ 3.85% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.82% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.7% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 1.59% Total : 13.4% |
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