FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Alwyns Lane Football Ground
Montague (7', 18'), Mohammad Fahid Al Haj Ibrahim (50')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Lockyer (58' pen.), Mohammad Fahid Al Haj Ibrahim (90+8')
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Chertsey Town and Ashford United.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chertsey Town win with a probability of 65.41%. A win for Ashford United had a probability of 17.61% and a draw had a probability of 17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chertsey Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Ashford United win was 1-2 (4.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chertsey Town would win this match.
| Result |
| Chertsey Town | Draw | Ashford United |
65.41% ( 0.02) | 16.97% ( -0.01) | 17.61% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 69.67% ( 0) |
| 77.18% ( 0.01) | 22.81% ( -0.01) |
| 57.99% ( 0.02) | 42% ( -0.02) |
| 93.23% ( 0.01) | 6.76% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 75.02% ( 0.02) | 24.97% ( -0.01) |
| 74.72% ( -0) | 25.27% ( 0) |
