FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Earlsmead Stadium
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Harrow Borough and Ashford United.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrow Borough win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Ashford United had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrow Borough win was 2-1 with a probability of 8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.4%) and 3-2 (4.9%). The likeliest Ashford United win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result |
| Harrow Borough | Draw | Ashford United |
43.6% ( 1.29) | 21.07% ( -0.09) | 35.33% ( -1.2) |
| Both teams to score 72.64% ( 0.07) |
| 73.71% ( 0.2) | 26.29% ( -0.2) |
| 53.42% ( 0.25) | 46.58% ( -0.25) |
| 86.79% ( 0.51) | 13.21% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.05% ( 1.03) | 39.95% ( -1.03) |
| 83.69% ( -0.41) | 16.31% ( 0.41) |
