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FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 26, 2022 at 5pm UK
Chigwell Construction Stadium
G

Dag & Red
1 - 1
Gillingham

Walker (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kashket (90+2')
Wright (61')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dag & Red 2-1 Scunthorpe
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Crawley 0-0 Gillingham
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Dagenham & Redbridge 0-0 Gillingham

Given the contrasting form between these two sides, who are only one division apart, there may be very little splitting the two teams on the day. As such, it would be no surprise to see a draw be the end result, with Gillingham potentially content to take their opponents back to the Priestfield Stadium for a replay. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 52%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 23.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Dagenham & RedbridgeDrawGillingham
52% (0.685 0.69) 24.08% (0.065999999999999 0.07) 23.91% (-0.747 -0.75)
Both teams to score 53.55% (-1.035 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.12% (-0.978 -0.98)47.88% (0.98 0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.94% (-0.905 -0.91)70.06% (0.907 0.91)
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.6% (-0.107 -0.11)18.39% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.46% (-0.183 -0.18)49.53% (0.186 0.19)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.62% (-1.179 -1.18)34.37% (1.181 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.92% (-1.276 -1.28)71.08% (1.279 1.28)
Score Analysis
    Dagenham & Redbridge 51.99%
    Gillingham 23.91%
    Draw 24.08%
Dagenham & RedbridgeDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 10.7% (0.39 0.39)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.06% (0.302 0.3)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.12% (0.153 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.17% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 51.99%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.32% (0.253 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.08%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.1% (-0.167 -0.17)
0-2 @ 3.61% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 23.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dag & Red 2-1 Scunthorpe
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 0-3 Dag & Red
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 0-1 Dag & Red
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Dag & Red 4-1 Wealdstone
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 1-1 Boreham Wood
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Halifax 2-0 Dag & Red
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Crawley 0-0 Gillingham
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Fylde
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Northampton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Gillingham (5-6 pen.)
Tuesday, November 8 at 8.05pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Fylde 1-1 Gillingham
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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