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AF
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Mill Farm Stadium
G

Fylde
1 - 1
Gillingham

Walker (83')
Bird (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mandron (45+3')
O'Keefe (5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fylde 1-0 Peterborough Sports
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 Gillingham
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Fylde 1-0 Gillingham

Fylde have proven to be a tough nut to crack on their own patch of late, while Gillingham have struggled massively on the road recently. We expect a close game here nonetheless with the home side just about coming out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Fylde win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
FyldeDrawGillingham
32.08% (0.093 0.09) 25.01% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 42.92% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.66% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.38% (0.107 0.11)46.62% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.11% (0.102 0.1)68.89% (-0.10000000000001 -0.1)
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38% (0.111 0.11)27.62% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.85% (0.144 0.14)63.15% (-0.141 -0.14)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.28% (0.013000000000005 0.01)21.72% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.11% (0.017999999999994 0.02)54.89% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fylde 32.08%
    Gillingham 42.92%
    Draw 25%
FyldeDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 7.72% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.97% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.25% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 32.08%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 9.16% (-0.037999999999998 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.99% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 3.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.75%
0-4 @ 1.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 42.92%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Fylde 1-0 Peterborough Sports
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 2-1 Fylde
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 2-1 Fylde
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 Fylde
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 2-2 Spennymoor
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 3-1 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 Gillingham
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-0 Gillingham
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Barrow
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Stevenage
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Colchester (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Crewe 1-1 Gillingham
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two


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