A game that both sides will view as an opportunity to take three points, we are backing the visitors here, given their relatively solid form since the arrival of Coughlan in the dugout in addition to Gillingham's goalscoring woes on the road.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
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