SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Watford had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Watford |
46.51% ( -0.02) | 23.94% ( 0) | 29.54% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.01% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.04% ( -0.01) | 42.96% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.64% ( -0) | 65.36% ( 0) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.34% ( -0.01) | 18.65% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.02% ( -0.01) | 49.98% ( 0.01) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.54% ( 0.01) | 27.46% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.05% ( 0.01) | 62.94% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Watford |
| 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.6% 2-0 @ 7.22% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.38% 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 3.42% Total : 46.51% | 1-1 @ 11.11% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.92% Total : 29.54% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
