SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Watford had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Watford |
41.07% ( 0.65) | 25.88% ( 0.07) | 33.04% ( -0.72) |
| Both teams to score 54.05% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.85% ( -0.45) | 50.15% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.88% ( -0.4) | 72.12% ( 0.41) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.84% ( 0.13) | 24.15% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.53% ( 0.19) | 58.47% ( -0.18) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( -0.67) | 28.73% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.43% ( -0.85) | 64.57% ( 0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 41.08% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.66% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.04% |
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