Both teams have scored in each of Fulham's eight Premier League home matches this season, but that trend will surely be bucked here, even if Southampton do arrive with a new manager bounce.
While the Saints have struggled for offensive inspiration all season, Fulham have not failed to score since the opening day and should make light work of their opponents, whose five-point total if they lose would be the joint second-lowest in Premier League history at Christmas.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fulham win with a probability of 52.25%. A win for Southampton has a probability of 25.24% and a draw has a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Southampton win is 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.27%).
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