Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 78.9%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Hednesford Town had a probability of 7.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.32%), while for a Hednesford Town win it was 1-2 (2.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.