Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Goole and Melton Town.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melton Town win with a probability of 63.8%. A win for Goole had a probability of 18.74% and a draw had a probability of 17.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melton Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Goole win was 2-1 (4.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melton Town would win this match.