Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 61.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 17.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 7-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.