Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamworthy Recreation win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Paulton Rovers had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamworthy Recreation win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.46%) and 1-0 (4.95%). The likeliest Paulton Rovers win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
