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FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Safety Net Stadium
MU

Herne Bay
0 - 1
Maidstone

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mohammad Fahid Al Haj Ibrahim (41' og.)
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Herne Bay and Maidstone United.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Herne Bay 3-0 Hendon
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Maidstone 2-2 Chesham
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 70.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Herne Bay had a probability of 11.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Herne Bay win it was 1-0 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.

Result
Herne BayDrawMaidstone United
11.78% (0.00099999999999945 0) 17.9% (0.0030000000000001 0) 70.32% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Both teams to score 49.42% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.02% (-0.012 -0.01)40.97% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.63% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)63.36% (0.012 0.01)
Herne Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.19% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)44.81% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)80.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Maidstone United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.54% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)10.46% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.93% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)34.07% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Herne Bay 11.78%
    Maidstone United 70.3%
    Draw 17.9%
Herne BayDrawMaidstone United
1-0 @ 3.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 3.41%
2-0 @ 1.51% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.03%
3-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 11.78%
1-1 @ 8.49% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 3.85%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 17.9%
0-2 @ 11.94%
0-1 @ 10.57%
1-2 @ 9.59%
0-3 @ 8.99%
1-3 @ 7.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-4 @ 5.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 4.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-5 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 70.3%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Herne Bay 3-0 Hendon
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Ashford Town 0-2 Herne Bay
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Rayners Lane 1-2 Herne Bay
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Herne Bay 2-2 Rayners Lane
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Maidstone 2-2 Chesham
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 2-1 Hampton
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Enfield Town 1-4 Maidstone
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 1-5 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-1 Maidstone
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 0-1 Weston
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South


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