SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maidstone United | Draw | Chelmsford City |
41.46% ( 0.55) | 26.52% ( -0.14) | 32.02% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 51.68% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.95% ( 0.45) | 53.05% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.36% ( 0.38) | 74.64% ( -0.39) |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.74% ( 0.49) | 25.26% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.99% ( 0.68) | 60.01% ( -0.68) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.15% ( -0.05) | 30.85% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.86% ( -0.06) | 67.13% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidstone United | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 1-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.45% Total : 41.46% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.02% |
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