Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
