Given Reading's recent struggles and the high chance of Veljko Paunovic fielding a young side, an upset is not off the cards here. The non-league outfit will still be big underdogs whatever team the Royals put out though and we think a famous victory for Kiddy will not quite happen.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
