Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
