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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Breyer Group Stadium
EU

Leyton Orient
1 - 0
Ebbsfleet

Drinan (24')
Clay (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Chapman (58')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Leyton Orient and Ebbsfleet.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leyton Orient in this match.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawEbbsfleet
46.18%25.19%28.64%
Both teams to score 54.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.02%48.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.94%71.06%
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77%21.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.87%54.13%
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84%31.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.5%67.5%
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 46.17%
    Ebbsfleet 28.64%
    Draw 25.18%
Leyton OrientDrawEbbsfleet
1-0 @ 10.25%
2-1 @ 9.26%
2-0 @ 7.95%
3-1 @ 4.79%
3-0 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 1.85%
4-0 @ 1.59%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 46.17%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.62%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 7.71%
1-2 @ 6.97%
0-2 @ 4.5%
1-3 @ 2.71%
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 28.64%


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