Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.