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National League South | Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
Stonebridge Road
H&

Ebbsfleet
1 - 2
Havant & W'ville

Martin (45')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Wright (2'), Rendell (5')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Havant & Waterlooville.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawHavant & Waterlooville
34.2%25.63%40.17%
Both teams to score 55.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.21%48.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.11%70.89%
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.66%27.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.2%62.79%
Havant & Waterlooville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99%24.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.74%58.26%
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 34.2%
    Havant & Waterlooville 40.17%
    Draw 25.62%
EbbsfleetDrawHavant & Waterlooville
1-0 @ 8.51%
2-1 @ 7.88%
2-0 @ 5.52%
3-1 @ 3.4%
3-2 @ 2.43%
3-0 @ 2.39%
4-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 34.2%
1-1 @ 12.14%
0-0 @ 6.56%
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 9.37%
1-2 @ 8.66%
0-2 @ 6.68%
1-3 @ 4.12%
0-3 @ 3.18%
2-3 @ 2.67%
1-4 @ 1.47%
0-4 @ 1.13%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 40.17%

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