Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 53%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 24.02% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.