Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.