Carlisle
3 - 2
Newport

Alessandra (15' pen.), Mellish (68', 81')
McDonald (48')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Devitt (84'), Sheehan (90+2')
Labadie (22')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Newport County.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Newport County
34.12%	27.67%	38.21%

Both teams to score 48.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.87%

57.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22%

78%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.49%

31.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.1%

67.9%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.03%

28.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.14%

64.85%

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 34.12%

Newport County 38.2%

Draw 27.67%

Carlisle United	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 6.09% 3-1 @ 2.9% 3-0 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.91% Total : 34.12%	1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.13% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.67%	0-1 @ 11.3% 1-2 @ 8.09% 0-2 @ 7.01% 1-3 @ 3.34% 0-3 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.2%