Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Merstham win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Erith Town had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Merstham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Erith Town win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Merstham in this match.
Result | ||
Merstham | Draw | Erith Town |
44.03% | 23.12% | 32.84% |
Both teams to score 63.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.49% | 37.51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.26% | 59.73% |
Merstham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.5% | 17.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.01% | 47.99% |
Erith Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.23% | 22.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.54% | 56.46% |
Score Analysis |
Merstham | Draw | Erith Town |
2-1 @ 8.96% 1-0 @ 6.94% 2-0 @ 6.05% 3-1 @ 5.21% 3-2 @ 3.85% 3-0 @ 3.52% 4-1 @ 2.27% 4-2 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.53% Other @ 4.03% Total : 44.03% | 1-1 @ 10.27% 2-2 @ 6.63% 0-0 @ 3.98% 3-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.12% | 1-2 @ 7.6% 0-1 @ 5.89% 0-2 @ 4.36% 1-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.22% Total : 32.84% |
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