Merstham
2 - 1
Erith Town

Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Merstham and Erith Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Merstham win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Erith Town had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Merstham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Erith Town win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Merstham in this match.

Result
Merstham	Draw	Erith Town
44.03%	23.12%	32.84%

Both teams to score 63.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.49%

37.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.26%

59.73%

Merstham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.5%

17.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.01%

47.99%

Erith Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.23%

22.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.54%

56.46%

Score Analysis

Merstham 44.03%

Erith Town 32.84%

Draw 23.12%

Merstham	Draw	Erith Town
2-1 @ 8.96% 1-0 @ 6.94% 2-0 @ 6.05% 3-1 @ 5.21% 3-2 @ 3.85% 3-0 @ 3.52% 4-1 @ 2.27% 4-2 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.53% Other @ 4.03% Total : 44.03%	1-1 @ 10.27% 2-2 @ 6.63% 0-0 @ 3.98% 3-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.12%	1-2 @ 7.6% 0-1 @ 5.89% 0-2 @ 4.36% 1-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.22% Total : 32.84%