Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Northampton ON Chenecks and Barton Town Old Boys.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barton Town Old Boys win with a probability of 53.95%. A win for Northampton ON Chenecks had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barton Town Old Boys win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.47%) and 2-3 (5.66%). The likeliest Northampton ON Chenecks win was 2-1 (5.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barton Town Old Boys would win this match.