Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kettering Town win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for St Ives Town had a probability of 37.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kettering Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.86%) and 0-2 (4.99%). The likeliest St Ives Town win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kettering Town would win this match.
Result | ||
St Ives Town | Draw | Kettering Town |
37.86% ( -0.1) | 22.75% ( 0.02) | 39.38% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 66.34% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.44% ( -0.13) | 34.56% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.5% ( -0.15) | 56.49% ( 0.14) |
St Ives Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.11% ( -0.11) | 18.89% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.63% ( -0.17) | 50.36% ( 0.17) |
Kettering Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.79% ( -0.03) | 18.21% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.77% ( -0.04) | 49.22% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
St Ives Town | Draw | Kettering Town |
2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.78% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 37.86% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.75% | 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.01% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 39.38% |
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