SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 66.76%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Kettering Town had a probability of 14.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Kettering Town win it was 0-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boston United | Draw | Kettering Town |
66.76% ( 0.27) | 19.05% ( -0.12) | 14.19% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 52.64% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.59% ( 0.19) | 40.4% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.21% ( 0.19) | 62.78% ( -0.2) |
| Boston United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.78% ( 0.12) | 11.21% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.24% ( 0.27) | 35.75% ( -0.28) |
| Kettering Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.29% ( -0.1) | 40.71% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.7% ( -0.09) | 77.29% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston United | Draw | Kettering Town |
| 2-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.01% Total : 66.75% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.05% | 0-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.68% Total : 14.19% |
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