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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
BR

Norwich
1 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Barnes (12')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ward (17')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Southampton
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 3-1 Bristol Rovers

As efficient as Bristol Rovers have been in the attacking third during the winter period, their defensive deficiencies continue to bedevil them and ought to be exposed by a Norwich crop aiming to right a few wrongs this weekend. Wagner should not be averse to making a few alterations to his pack, who will likely be faced with a three-man Pirates wall, but we still expect the Canaries to prevail with ease. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 51.61%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBristol Rovers
51.61%22.95%25.43% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.56% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)41.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.16% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)63.84%
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.85% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)16.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.41% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)45.59%
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.36% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.31% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)65.69%
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 51.61%
    Bristol Rovers 25.44%
    Draw 22.95%
Norwich CityDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.68%
1-0 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 7.96%
3-1 @ 5.88%
3-0 @ 4.84%
3-2 @ 3.58%
4-1 @ 2.68%
4-0 @ 2.2%
4-2 @ 1.63%
5-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 51.61%
1-1 @ 10.61%
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 4.79%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.95%
1-2 @ 6.45%
0-1 @ 5.82%
0-2 @ 3.54%
1-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 25.44%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Southampton
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Norwich
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Norwich
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Huddersfield
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 2-2 Norwich
Saturday, December 16 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Sheff Weds
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Wycombe 3-2 Bristol Rovers
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Charlton
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Portsmouth
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 3-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crewe 2-4 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in FA Cup


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