Harrogate
2 - 1
Wrexham

Power (73'), Orsi-Dadamo (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ponticelli (38')
McAlinden (65'), French (75')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Harrogate Town and Wrexham.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 52.27%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 24.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate Town	Draw	Wrexham
52.27%	23.6%	24.13%

Both teams to score 55.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.4%

45.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.07%

67.93%

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.56%

17.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.11%

47.89%

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.06%

32.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.48%

69.52%

Score Analysis

Harrogate Town 52.26%

Wrexham 24.13%

Draw 23.6%

Harrogate Town	Draw	Wrexham
1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.73% 2-0 @ 8.76% 3-1 @ 5.66% 3-0 @ 5.1% 3-2 @ 3.14% 4-1 @ 2.47% 4-0 @ 2.23% 4-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.76% Total : 52.26%	1-1 @ 11.14% 0-0 @ 5.75% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.6%	0-1 @ 6.38% 1-2 @ 6.19% 0-2 @ 3.54% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.43% Total : 24.13%