With the freedom of playing with no pressure, Stockport will fancy their chances of causing a surprise in Yorkshire. However, we cannot back against the home side, who know that a ruthless showing in the first half would end the tie as a contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 54.12%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 23.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
