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FA Cup | First Round Replays
Nov 17, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Edgeley Park
BL

Stockport
5 - 3
Bolton

Madden (24' pen.), Quigley (45', 95'), Palmer (85'), Crankshaw (119')
Madden (33'), Crankshaw (120+1')
FT
(aet)
Kachunga (2'), Palmer (6' og.), Bakayoko (28')
Sheehan (34'), Isgrove (81'), Kachunga (88'), Amaechi (102')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%).

Result
Stockport CountyDrawBolton Wanderers
40.43%26.08%33.49%
Both teams to score 53.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.11%50.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.23%72.77%
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18%24.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.6%59.4%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.19%28.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33%64.66%
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 40.43%
    Bolton Wanderers 33.49%
    Draw 26.08%
Stockport CountyDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.96%
2-1 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 6.94%
3-1 @ 4.01%
3-0 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 40.43%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 7.15%
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.9%
1-2 @ 7.72%
0-2 @ 5.54%
1-3 @ 3.2%
0-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 33.49%

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