Charlton will be the obvious favourites for Saturday's first-round tie, and we believe that they will live up to that tag by showcasing their extra quality against a Southend side that have lost three of their previous four home matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Southend United win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%).

Result
Southend United	Draw	Charlton Athletic
34.03%	25.44% ( 0.01)	40.53% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.81% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52% (

-0.03)

48% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.83% (

-0.02)

70.17% (

0.02)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.93% (

-0.01)

27.06% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.56% (

-0.02)

62.44% (

0.02)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.52% (

-0.02)

23.47% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.5% (

-0.02)

57.49% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Southend United 34.03%

Charlton Athletic 40.53%

Draw 25.43%

Southend United	Draw	Charlton Athletic
1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.86% 2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 34.03%	1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.43%	0-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.67% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.21% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 40.53%