SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Southend United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Southend United |
32.67% ( -0.12) | 25.74% ( -0.03) | 41.59% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 54.43% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.38% ( 0.08) | 49.62% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.36% ( 0.07) | 71.64% ( -0.07) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.29% ( -0.03) | 28.71% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.46% ( -0.04) | 64.54% ( 0.05) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.34% ( 0.11) | 23.66% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.24% ( 0.16) | 57.76% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Southend United |
| 1-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.29% 3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.67% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 41.59% |
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