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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 7, 2021 at 5.15pm UK
Clarence Park
FG

St Albans City
3 - 2
Forest Green

Weiss (25'), Banton (29'), Jeffers (78')
Diedhiou (5')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Stevens (18'), Aitchison (45+1')
Young (63'), Adams (90')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between St Albans City and Forest Green Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 68.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for St Albans City had a probability of 12.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.66%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a St Albans City win it was 1-0 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
St Albans CityDrawForest Green Rovers
12.67%19.21%68.12%
Both teams to score 47.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.33%44.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.96%67.04%
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.29%45.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.51%81.49%
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.92%12.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.39%37.61%
Score Analysis
    St Albans City 12.67%
    Forest Green Rovers 68.11%
    Draw 19.21%
St Albans CityDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 4.32%
2-1 @ 3.58%
2-0 @ 1.69%
3-2 @ 0.99%
3-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 12.67%
1-1 @ 9.14%
0-0 @ 5.52%
2-2 @ 3.78%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 19.21%
0-2 @ 12.33%
0-1 @ 11.66%
1-2 @ 9.66%
0-3 @ 8.69%
1-3 @ 6.8%
0-4 @ 4.59%
1-4 @ 3.6%
2-3 @ 2.66%
0-5 @ 1.94%
1-5 @ 1.52%
2-4 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 68.11%

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