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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macclesfield Town win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macclesfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tamworth | Draw | Macclesfield Town |
33.81% ( -2.42) | 24.52% ( -0.07) | 41.67% ( 2.48) |
| Both teams to score 58.96% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.11% ( -0.13) | 43.89% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.73% ( -0.12) | 66.27% ( 0.12) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.76% ( -1.42) | 25.24% ( 1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.01% ( -2) | 59.99% ( 2) |
| Macclesfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.86% ( 1.14) | 21.14% ( -1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.01% ( 1.74) | 53.99% ( -1.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tamworth | Draw | Macclesfield Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.34) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.27)2-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.4)3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.32)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.29)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.61% Total : 33.81% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 8.87% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.46)1-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.3)0-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.34)2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.17)0-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.17)2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.66% Total : 41.67% |
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