Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for Macclesfield Town had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.07%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Macclesfield Town win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0.01) 
