FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Memorial Playing Fields
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Hartley Wintney and Larkhall Athletic.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larkhall Athletic win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Hartley Wintney had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larkhall Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.3%) and 0-2 (5.32%). The likeliest Hartley Wintney win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larkhall Athletic would win this match.
| Result |
| Hartley Wintney | Draw | Larkhall Athletic |
36.63% ( -0.03) | 23.05% ( -0) | 40.32% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 65.06% ( -0) |
| 63.82% | 36.18% ( -0) |
| 41.71% ( 0) | 58.29% ( -0) |
| 79.82% ( -0.02) | 20.18% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.52% ( -0.02) | 52.48% ( 0.02) |
| 81.51% ( 0.01) | 18.49% ( -0.01) |
