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FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
2 - 1
Walton & Hersham

Vincent (49'), Leighton (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Owusu (35' pen.)
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Tonbridge Angels and Walton & Hersham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-2 Hampton
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Walton & Hersham 2-1 Farnborough
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Walton & Hersham had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Walton & Hersham win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Tonbridge Angels in this match.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawWalton & Hersham
46.02% (0.058999999999997 0.06) 23.67% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 30.31% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 60.43% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.71% (0.014000000000003 0.01)41.29% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.31% (0.013000000000005 0.01)63.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.8% (0.029000000000011 0.03)18.2% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.8% (0.048999999999999 0.05)49.2% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Walton & Hersham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.87% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)26.12% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.81% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)61.19% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 46.02%
    Walton & Hersham 30.31%
    Draw 23.67%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawWalton & Hersham
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.9% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.26% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.92% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.53% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 46.02%
1-1 @ 10.87%
2-2 @ 6.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.75% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 30.31%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-2 Hampton
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-1 Merstham
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chippenham 0-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-0 St Albans City
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Salisbury
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 0-2 Tonbridge Angels
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Walton & Hersham 2-1 Farnborough
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Walton & Hersham 4-2 Hanworth Villa
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Hanworth Villa 3-3 Walton & Hersham
Friday, August 30 at 7.45pm in FA Cup


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