Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.
Result | ||
Tonbridge Angels | Draw | St Albans City |
43.86% ( 0.27) | 25.11% ( 0.27) | 31.03% ( -0.55) |
Both teams to score 55.83% ( -1.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.5% ( -1.4) | 47.49% ( 1.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.29% ( -1.3) | 69.7% ( 1.3) |
Tonbridge Angels Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.34% ( -0.46) | 21.66% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.21% ( -0.71) | 54.79% ( 0.7) |
St Albans City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.26% ( -1.05) | 28.73% ( 1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.43% ( -1.33) | 64.56% ( 1.32) |
Score Analysis |
Tonbridge Angels | Draw | St Albans City |
1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.45% Total : 43.86% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.62% Total : 31.03% |
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