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National League South | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
2 - 0
St Albans City

Robinson (69'), Abraham (89')
Maloney (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Chinedu (25'), Deadfield (55'), Castiglione (65'), Payne (79')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and St Albans City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Salisbury
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 1-0 Farnborough
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawSt Albans City
43.86% (0.273 0.27) 25.11% (0.266 0.27) 31.03% (-0.546 -0.55)
Both teams to score 55.83% (-1.155 -1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.5% (-1.395 -1.4)47.49% (1.387 1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.29% (-1.304 -1.3)69.7% (1.296 1.3)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (-0.464 -0.46)21.66% (0.458 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.21% (-0.711 -0.71)54.79% (0.703 0.7)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26% (-1.051 -1.05)28.73% (1.042 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.43% (-1.327 -1.33)64.56% (1.319 1.32)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 43.86%
    St Albans City 31.03%
    Draw 25.11%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawSt Albans City
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.414 0.41)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.28% (0.219 0.22)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.71% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 43.86%
1-1 @ 11.87% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.353 0.35)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.76% (0.223 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.4% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 31.03%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Salisbury
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 0-2 Tonbridge Angels
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-0 Bath City
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-1 Tonbridge Angels
Monday, August 19 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 3-2 Weymouth
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 1-0 St Albans City
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dorking 2-1 St Albans City
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 1-2 Chesham
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hornchurch 1-0 St Albans City
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 2-2 Worthing
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Maidstone
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League South


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