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FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
2 - 1
Merstham

 
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pointing (76')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Tonbridge Angels and Merstham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chippenham 0-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Steyning Town 1-2 Merstham
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 60.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Merstham had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 1-0 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Merstham win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawMerstham
60.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 19.78% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 19.4% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.16% (0.0040000000000049 0)33.84% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.32% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)55.68% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.16% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)10.84% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.07% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)34.93% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Merstham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.44% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)30.56% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 60.82%
    Merstham 19.4%
    Draw 19.78%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawMerstham
2-1 @ 9.69%
2-0 @ 8.18% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 7.36%
3-1 @ 7.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 6.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 4.26%
4-1 @ 3.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 3.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.77% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.5% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.05%
4-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 60.82%
1-1 @ 8.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.31%
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 19.78%
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 3.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 2.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.27%
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 19.4%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Chippenham 0-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-0 St Albans City
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Salisbury
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 0-2 Tonbridge Angels
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-0 Bath City
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-1 Tonbridge Angels
Monday, August 19 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Steyning Town 1-2 Merstham
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Merstham 2-1 Erith Town
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Merstham 7-0 Wick
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Merstham 0-5 Oxford Utd
Saturday, November 5 at 12.30pm in FA Cup


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