SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 80.56%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 7.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 3-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.41%), while for a Hungerford Town win it was 1-2 (2.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Hungerford Town |
80.56% ( -0.17) | 12.08% ( 0.09) | 7.36% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 54.02% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.8% ( -0.2) | 26.19% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.54% ( -0.26) | 46.46% ( 0.26) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.03% ( -0.07) | 4.96% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.13% ( -0.2) | 19.87% ( 0.2) |
| Hungerford Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.85% ( 0.02) | 43.15% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.58% ( 0.01) | 79.42% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Hungerford Town |
| 3-0 @ 9.67% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 8.13% ( 0)2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)7-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.71% Total : 80.56% | 1-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 12.08% | 1-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 7.36% |
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