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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hungerford Town | Draw | Bath City |
35.28% ( -0.29) | 25.77% ( 0.3) | 38.94% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 54.91% ( -1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.73% ( -1.35) | 49.26% ( 1.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.67% ( -1.23) | 71.32% ( 1.22) |
| Hungerford Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.07% ( -0.81) | 26.92% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.75% ( -1.07) | 62.25% ( 1.07) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.13% ( -0.61) | 24.86% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.53% ( -0.86) | 59.47% ( 0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hungerford Town | Draw | Bath City |
| 1-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.09% Total : 35.28% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.77% Total : 38.94% |
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