SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 52.2%. A win for Hannover had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Hannover win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Hannover |
52.2% ( -16.86) | 21.89% ( 4.99) | 25.92% ( 11.86) |
| Both teams to score 63.34% ( 2.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.06% ( -5.87) | 35.94% ( 5.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.96% ( -6.75) | 58.03% ( 6.75) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86% ( -6.09) | 13.99% ( 6.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.48% ( -13.54) | 41.52% ( 13.53) |
| Hannover Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.64% ( 7.79) | 26.35% ( -7.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.5% ( 9.34) | 61.5% ( -9.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | Hannover |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.4)2-0 @ 7.13% ( -1.56)3-1 @ 6.23% ( -1.67)3-0 @ 4.68% ( -2.68)3-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 3.07% ( -1.95)4-0 @ 2.3% ( -2.37)4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.65)5-1 @ 1.21% ( -1.34)4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 0.9% ( -1.46)Other @ 2.81% Total : 52.2% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( 2.31) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 1.32)0-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.99)3-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.33)Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.89% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 2.49) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( 2.02)0-2 @ 3.28% ( 1.72)1-3 @ 2.87% ( 1.45)2-3 @ 2.82% ( 1.02)0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.9)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.58)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.46)Other @ 2.23% Total : 25.92% |
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