SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.84%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.08%) and 1-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ajax.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
53.84% ( -0.25) | 21.3% ( 0.12) | 24.85% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 64.34% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.86% ( -0.45) | 34.14% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.97% ( -0.52) | 56.03% ( 0.52) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.13% ( -0.22) | 12.87% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.74% ( -0.47) | 39.26% ( 0.47) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.84% ( -0.15) | 26.16% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.76% ( -0.21) | 61.24% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.39% Total : 53.84% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.3% | 1-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 24.85% |
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