SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 48.99%. A win for Hannover had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Hannover win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Hannover |
48.99% ( 1.36) | 22.38% ( 0.07) | 28.63% ( -1.43) |
| Both teams to score 64% ( -1.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.88% ( -1.31) | 36.11% ( 1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.78% ( -1.45) | 58.22% ( 1.45) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.88% ( -0.02) | 15.12% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.32% ( -0.02) | 43.68% ( 0.02) |
| Hannover Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.39% ( -1.54) | 24.6% ( 1.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.89% ( -2.22) | 59.1% ( 2.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Hannover |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.44)2-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.42)3-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.23% Total : 48.99% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.38% | 1-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.65% Total : 28.63% |
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