SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 56.29%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 23.7% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Wrexham |
56.29% ( -0.02) | 20.01% ( 0) | 23.7% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 67.86% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.98% ( 0.02) | 29.01% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.01% ( 0.02) | 49.99% ( -0.02) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.48% ( 0) | 10.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.79% | 34.2% ( 0) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.84% ( 0.02) | 24.16% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.52% ( 0.03) | 58.47% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Wrexham |
| 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.87% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.88% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.84% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.87% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.75% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.72% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.74% 4-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.24% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 3.53% Total : 56.29% | 1-1 @ 8.13% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.54% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.31% ( 0)Other @ 0.53% Total : 20.01% | 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.61% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.56% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 23.7% |
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