SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 70.18%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 14.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.76%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-2 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | West Ham United |
70.18% ( 0.26) | 15.41% ( -0.02) | 14.4% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 68.29% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.48% ( -0.48) | 21.51% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 59.78% ( -0.67) | 40.22% ( 0.66) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.37% ( -0.08) | 5.63% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.18% ( -0.21) | 21.82% ( 0.2) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.36% ( -0.63) | 27.64% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.82% ( -0.82) | 63.18% ( 0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | West Ham United |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 5.71% ( 0)3-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.07)1-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.05)6-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)6-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)5-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.67% Total : 70.18% | 1-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.59% Total : 15.41% | 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.06)0-1 @ 2% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.55% Total : 14.4% |
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