SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 59.62%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 20.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 1-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (5.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Chelsea |
59.62% ( 0.06) | 20.11% ( -0.03) | 20.27% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 62.22% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.89% ( 0.1) | 34.11% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.01% ( 0.11) | 55.98% ( -0.11) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.76% ( 0.05) | 11.24% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.2% ( 0.1) | 35.8% ( -0.1) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.1% ( 0.03) | 29.9% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34% ( 0.04) | 66% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.85% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 59.62% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.11% | 1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 20.27% |
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