SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.82%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Benfica |
32.83% ( 0.21) | 23.01% ( -0.04) | 44.16% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 64.15% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.05% ( 0.27) | 36.94% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.87% ( 0.29) | 59.13% ( -0.29) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.49% ( 0.25) | 22.51% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.93% ( 0.36) | 56.07% ( -0.37) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.78% ( 0.04) | 17.22% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.49% ( 0.07) | 47.51% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Benfica |
| 2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.29% Total : 32.83% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.16% Total : 44.16% |
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